Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Barez vs Ronal Siahaan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Entram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamBSA Martial Arts Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel BarezNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Ronal SiahaanNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.65
Sig. strikes / min
0.63
50%
Strike accuracy
67%
5.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.17
50%
Strike defense
25%
1.93
Takedown avg.
0
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
25%
0.64
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel BarezRonal Siahaan
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
6 (35%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (24%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronal Siahaan53%
Daniel Barez 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronal Siahaan a 53% favorite over Daniel Barez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1597), separated by just 2 points.

Daniel Barez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Barez finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Ronal Siahaan 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.