Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Frunza vs Erick Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Erick Silva
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Erick Silva

“A Fierce Tiger”

20-11-0WelterweightBFC

1575Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record20-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
73"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black House SantiagoTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Daniel Frunza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Erick Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel FrunzaNow 1590
If they win+15→ 1605
If they lose-17→ 1573
Erick SilvaNow 1575
If they win+17→ 1592
If they lose-15→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
39%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.18
51%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0.85
TBD
Takedown accuracy
35%
50%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
1.41

Trajectory

Daniel FrunzaErick Silva
16002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (90%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (65%)
1 (10%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Frunza79%
Erick Silva 21%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Frunza a 79% favorite over Erick Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Daniel Frunza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1590 to 1575, a 15-point edge.

Erick Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Frunza finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Erick Silva 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.