Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Frunza vs Jeremiah Metcalf

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record13-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black House SantiagoTeamTeam Voodoo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel FrunzaNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Jeremiah MetcalfNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel FrunzaJeremiah Metcalf
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (90%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (62%)
1 (10%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Frunza62%
Jeremiah Metcalf 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Frunza a 62% favorite over Jeremiah Metcalf in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremiah Metcalf's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.

Jeremiah Metcalf enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Daniel Frunza finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Jeremiah Metcalf 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.