Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Frunza vs Theodor Berggren

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record8-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight167 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel FrunzaNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Theodor BerggrenNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel FrunzaTheodor Berggren
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (90%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (38%)
1 (10%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Frunza62%
Theodor Berggren 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Frunza a 62% favorite over Theodor Berggren in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Frunza finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Theodor Berggren 100%.

Theodor Berggren carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.