Daniel Frunza vs Trukon Carson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record6-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
73"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
Daniel Frunza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Trukon Carson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1605
If they lose-17→ 1573
If they win+25→ 1599
If they lose-23→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel FrunzaTrukon Carson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Frunza61%
Trukon Carson 39%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Frunza a 61% favorite over Trukon Carson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Daniel Frunza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1590 to 1574, a 16-point edge.
Daniel Frunza finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Trukon Carson 83%.
Daniel Frunza carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.