Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Lacerda vs Edgar Cháirez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record14-6-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight131 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamEntram Gym· 1682 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

Edgar Cháirez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Daniel Lacerda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel LacerdaNow 1507
If they win+22→ 1529
If they lose-10→ 1497
Edgar CháirezNow 1652
If they win+10→ 1662
If they lose-22→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
46%
Strike accuracy
46%
8.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.71
35%
Strike defense
46%
2.32
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
48%
1.16
Submission avg.
1.44

Trajectory

Daniel LacerdaEdgar Cháirez
150015501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
7 (58%)
Submission
9 (64%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Edgar Cháirez84%
Daniel Lacerda 16%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Edgar Cháirez a 84% favorite over Daniel Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Edgar Cháirez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1507, a 145-point edge.

Edgar Cháirez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Daniel Lacerda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Edgar Cháirez 93%.

Daniel Lacerda and Edgar Cháirez share 1 common opponent: Cj Vergara.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2023
Cj Vergara
WinSubmission · 2025