
Daniel Lacerda vs Edgar Cháirez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Edgar Cháirez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Daniel Lacerda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Edgar Cháirez a 84% favorite over Daniel Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Edgar Cháirez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1507, a 145-point edge.
Edgar Cháirez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Daniel Lacerda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Edgar Cháirez 93%.
Daniel Lacerda and Edgar Cháirez share 1 common opponent: Cj Vergara.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.