Daniel Pineda vs Kron Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-17-0Record5-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamKron Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1605
If they lose-12→ 1581
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-24→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel PinedaKron Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kron Gracie60%
Daniel Pineda 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kron Gracie a 60% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Pineda's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1591), separated by just 2 points.
Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kron Gracie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kron Gracie 100%.
Daniel Pineda and Kron Gracie share 2 common opponents: Alex Caceres and Cub Swanson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.