Daniel Pineda vs Nathaniel Wood
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-17-0Record23-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
69"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Nathaniel Wood is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Daniel Pineda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1610
If they lose-7→ 1586
If they win+7→ 1740
If they lose-17→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel PinedaNathaniel Wood
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nathaniel Wood92%
Daniel Pineda 8%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Nathaniel Wood a 92% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Nathaniel Wood holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1593, a 140-point edge.
Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nathaniel Wood 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.