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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Pineda vs Nathaniel Wood

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

28-17-0Record23-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
69"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1606 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

Nathaniel Wood is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Daniel Pineda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel PinedaNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-8→ 1587
Nathaniel WoodNow 1720
If they win+8→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
5.64
50%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.25
46%
Strike defense
54%
1.42
Takedown avg.
1.35
24%
Takedown accuracy
0%
55%
Takedown defense
73%
1.54
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Daniel PinedaNathaniel Wood
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
8 (35%)
19 (68%)
Submission
5 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
10 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathaniel Wood82%
Daniel Pineda 18%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathaniel Wood a 82% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Nathaniel Wood holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1595, a 125-point edge.

Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nathaniel Wood 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.