Daniel Rodriguez vs Gabe Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record12-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"Reach73"
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
10th Planet Jiu-JitsuTeamSubfighter MMA
What's at stake
Daniel Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Gabe Green carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1756
If they lose-15→ 1732
If they win+20→ 1680
If they lose-12→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel RodriguezGabe Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Rodriguez70%
Gabe Green 30%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Gabe Green in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Daniel Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1660, a 87-point edge.
Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Gabe Green 92%.
Daniel Rodriguez and Gabe Green share 1 common opponent: Ian Machado Garry.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.