Daniel Rodriguez vs Jacobe Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record12-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"Reach72"
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
10th Planet Jiu-JitsuTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel RodriguezJacobe Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacobe Smith60%
Daniel Rodriguez 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacobe Smith a 60% favorite over Daniel Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1735), separated by just 4 points.
Jacobe Smith enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Jacobe Smith 83%.
Daniel Rodriguez and Jacobe Smith share 1 common opponent: Preston Parsons.
Daniel Rodriguez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.