Daniel Rodriguez vs Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Rodriguez57%
Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 57% favorite over Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1730), separated by just 1 points.
Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov 53%.
Daniel Rodriguez carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record15-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"Reach70"
184 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel RodriguezZhakshylyk Myrzabekov