Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Spitz vs Mark Godbeer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Daniel Spitz
us

Daniel Spitz

“Daddy Long Legs”

6-3-0HeavyweightUFC

1579Solid
Mark Godbeer

Mark Godbeer

“The Hand of”

13-5-0HeavyweightACA

1588Solid

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record13-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
45,0"Reach44,0"
240 lbsWeight245 lbs
SikjitsuTeamScottish Hit Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel SpitzNow 1579
If they win+25→ 1604
If they lose-23→ 1556
Mark GodbeerNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.60
Sig. strikes / min
3.97
36%
Strike accuracy
54%
5.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.30
46%
Strike defense
54%
0.74
Takedown avg.
0
67%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
29%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel SpitzMark Godbeer
16001650201720182019

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
3 (50%)
Submission
2 (17%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Spitz61%
Mark Godbeer 39%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Spitz a 61% favorite over Mark Godbeer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Godbeer's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1588), separated by just 9 points.

Daniel Spitz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mark Godbeer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Spitz finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mark Godbeer 92%.

Daniel Spitz and Mark Godbeer share 1 common opponent: Walt Harris.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Punches · 2018
Walt Harris
WinDQ · 2017