Daniel Swain vs Darrius Flowers
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-1Record13-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Warrior CampTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Daniel SwainDarrius Flowers
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darrius Flowers63%
Daniel Swain 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Darrius Flowers a 63% favorite over Daniel Swain in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.
Daniel Swain enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Daniel Swain finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Darrius Flowers 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.