Danilo Belluardo vs Tamirlan Ashakhanov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Tamirlan Ashakhanov63%
Danilo Belluardo 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tamirlan Ashakhanov a 63% favorite over Danilo Belluardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1539), separated by just 3 points.
Danilo Belluardo finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Tamirlan Ashakhanov 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record8-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74,5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 15 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danilo BelluardoTamirlan Ashakhanov