Danilo Marques vs Jailton Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record22-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'4"
77"Reach79"
249 lbsWeight241 lbs
Kings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamGalpao da Luta· 1684 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Jailton Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Danilo Marques carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1613
If they lose-9→ 1581
If they win+7→ 1762
If they lose-17→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danilo MarquesJailton Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jailton Almeida88%
Danilo Marques 12%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 88% favorite over Danilo Marques in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Jailton Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1590, a 165-point edge.
Jailton Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Danilo Marques finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jailton Almeida 95%.
Jailton Almeida carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.