Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record11-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
79"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Danny Barlow is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Djorden Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1665
If they lose-18→ 1633
If they win+18→ 1628
If they lose-14→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danny BarlowDjorden Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Danny Barlow53%
Djorden Santos 47%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Danny Barlow a 53% favorite over Djorden Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Danny Barlow holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1610, a 41-point edge.
Danny Barlow enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Djorden Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Danny Barlow finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Djorden Santos 64%.
Danny Barlow carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.