Danny Barlow vs Ilian Bouafia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record8-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'5"
79"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Law School MMATeamBoxing Squad· 1649 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+24→ 1675
If they lose-24→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danny BarlowIlian Bouafia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilian Bouafia54%
Danny Barlow 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilian Bouafia a 54% favorite over Danny Barlow in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danny Barlow's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1651), separated by just 0 points.
Danny Barlow enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Danny Barlow finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ilian Bouafia 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.