Danny Barlow vs Josh Quinlan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
79"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Danny Barlow is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Quinlan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1662
If they lose-21→ 1630
If they win+21→ 1565
If they lose-11→ 1533
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danny BarlowJosh Quinlan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Danny Barlow73%
Josh Quinlan 27%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Danny Barlow a 73% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Danny Barlow holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1544, a 107-point edge.
Danny Barlow enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Danny Barlow finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Josh Quinlan 100%.
Danny Barlow carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.