Danny Henry vs Makwan Amirkhani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73,0"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Higher Level MMATeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Danny Henry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Makwan Amirkhani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1654
If they lose-17→ 1622
If they win+17→ 1631
If they lose-15→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danny HenryMakwan Amirkhani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Danny Henry57%
Makwan Amirkhani 43%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Danny Henry a 57% favorite over Makwan Amirkhani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Danny Henry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1614, a 25-point edge.
Danny Henry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Danny Henry finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Makwan Amirkhani 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.