Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Roberts vs Eoin Sheridan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Danny Roberts
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Danny Roberts

“Hot Chocolate”

18-8-0WelterweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record6-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'5"
74"Reach81"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Team McHaleTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

Eoin Sheridan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Danny Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Danny RobertsNow 1617
If they win+17→ 1634
If they lose-15→ 1602
Eoin SheridanNow 1647
If they win+22→ 1669
If they lose-26→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.18
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.24
Takedown avg.
TBD
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.24
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Danny RobertsEoin Sheridan
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
5 (28%)
Submission
1 (17%)
5 (28%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Eoin Sheridan87%
Danny Roberts 13%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Eoin Sheridan a 87% favorite over Danny Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Eoin Sheridan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1617, a 30-point edge.

Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Eoin Sheridan enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Eoin Sheridan 67%.

Eoin Sheridan carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.