Danny Roberts vs Gary Balletto
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Danny Roberts61%
Gary Balletto 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Danny Roberts a 61% favorite over Gary Balletto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1616), separated by just 2 points.
Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Gary Balletto 100%.
Danny Roberts carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record11-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danny RobertsGary Balletto