Danu Tărchilă vs Matthew Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
69"Reach-
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Thai Boxing ClubTeamFight Academy Ireland· 1585 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Danu TărchilăMatthew Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew Elliott61%
Danu Tărchilă 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Elliott a 61% favorite over Danu Tărchilă in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Danu Tărchilă's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1569), separated by just 3 points.
Danu Tărchilă enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matthew Elliott enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Danu Tărchilă finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Matthew Elliott 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.