Dario Bellandi vs Davi Cabral
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Dario Bellandi54%
Davi Cabral 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dario Bellandi a 54% favorite over Davi Cabral in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1633), separated by just 2 points.
Dario Bellandi finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Davi Cabral 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record7-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
185 lbsWeight179 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dario BellandiDavi Cabral