Dario Bellandi vs Willer Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record5-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
If they win+25→ 1650
If they lose-23→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dario BellandiWiller Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dario Bellandi56%
Willer Alves 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Dario Bellandi a 56% favorite over Willer Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1625), separated by just 9 points.
Willer Alves enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Dario Bellandi finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Willer Alves 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.