Combat Edge Intelligence

Darragh Kelly vs George Hardwick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Darragh Kelly
ie

Darragh Kelly

“Moville Mauler”

9-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1670Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record15-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight154 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamMiddlesbrough Fight Academy· 1600 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darragh KellyNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
George HardwickNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.60
TBD
Strike defense
71%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Darragh KellyGeorge Hardwick
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
5 (56%)
Submission
3 (20%)
2 (22%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Darragh Kelly55%
George Hardwick 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darragh Kelly a 55% favorite over George Hardwick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1669), separated by just 1 points.

Darragh Kelly finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, George Hardwick 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.