Darragh Kelly vs Jay Jay Wilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record12-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamAlliance Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Jay Jay Wilson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Darragh Kelly carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1689
If they lose-15→ 1657
If they win+15→ 1719
If they lose-17→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darragh KellyJay Jay Wilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jay Jay Wilson59%
Darragh Kelly 41%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Jay Jay Wilson a 59% favorite over Darragh Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Jay Jay Wilson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1672, a 32-point edge.
Darragh Kelly finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jay Jay Wilson 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.