Combat Edge Intelligence

Darragh Kelly vs Jay Jay Wilson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Darragh Kelly
ie

Darragh Kelly

“Moville Mauler”

9-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1670Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record12-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamAlliance Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Jay Jay Wilson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Darragh Kelly carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darragh KellyNow 1670
If they win+18→ 1688
If they lose-14→ 1656
Jay Jay WilsonNow 1703
If they win+14→ 1717
If they lose-18→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Darragh KellyJay Jay Wilson
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
5 (56%)
Submission
4 (33%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jay Jay Wilson66%
Darragh Kelly 34%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Jay Jay Wilson a 66% favorite over Darragh Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Jay Jay Wilson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1670, a 33-point edge.

Darragh Kelly finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jay Jay Wilson 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.