Darragh Kelly vs Kacper Formela
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record21-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
73"Reach71.3"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamMighty Bulls Gdynia
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Darragh KellyKacper Formela
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darragh Kelly53%
Kacper Formela 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Darragh Kelly a 53% favorite over Kacper Formela in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1678), separated by just 0 points.
Kacper Formela enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Darragh Kelly finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Kacper Formela 52%.
Darragh Kelly carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.