Darrell Horcher vs Michael Boylan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record6-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72,0"Reach72"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Unrivaled AthleticsTeamDes Moines MMA Academy
What's at stake
Darrell Horcher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michael Boylan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1623
If they lose-17→ 1591
If they win+26→ 1608
If they lose-22→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Darrell HorcherMichael Boylan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Boylan57%
Darrell Horcher 43%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Boylan a 57% favorite over Darrell Horcher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Darrell Horcher's way (46%).
Darrell Horcher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1582, a 26-point edge.
Darrell Horcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michael Boylan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Darrell Horcher finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Michael Boylan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.