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Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrell Horcher vs Roosevelt Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
72,0"Reach73"
154 lbsWeight158 lbs
Unrivaled AthleticsTeamAdrenaline Martial Arts

What's at stake

Roosevelt Roberts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Darrell Horcher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darrell HorcherNow 1608
If they win+17→ 1625
If they lose-15→ 1593
Roosevelt RobertsNow 1640
If they win+15→ 1655
If they lose-17→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
2.84
45%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.10
39%
Strike defense
53%
0.35
Takedown avg.
1.18
50%
Takedown accuracy
27%
47%
Takedown defense
50%
0.69
Submission avg.
0.74

Trajectory

Darrell HorcherRoosevelt Roberts
1600165017002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
1 (7%)
Submission
5 (42%)
6 (43%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Roosevelt Roberts61%
Darrell Horcher 39%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Roosevelt Roberts a 61% favorite over Darrell Horcher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Roosevelt Roberts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1608, a 32-point edge.

Darrell Horcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darrell Horcher finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Roosevelt Roberts 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.