Darren Elkins vs Nate Landwehr
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-13-0Record18-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Darren Elkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nate Landwehr carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1695
If they lose-14→ 1671
If they win+18→ 1658
If they lose-14→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darren ElkinsNate Landwehr
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Darren Elkins62%
Nate Landwehr 38%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 62% favorite over Nate Landwehr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Darren Elkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1640, a 45-point edge.
Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.
Darren Elkins and Nate Landwehr share 2 common opponents: Julian Erosa and Cub Swanson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.