Darren Till vs Robert Whittaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-1Record27-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPMA Super Martial Arts
What's at stake
Robert Whittaker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Darren Till carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1701
If they lose-13→ 1669
If they win+10→ 1762
If they lose-14→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darren TillRobert Whittaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robert Whittaker70%
Darren Till 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 70% favorite over Darren Till in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Robert Whittaker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1682, a 70-point edge.
Darren Till enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Darren Till finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 59%.
Darren Till and Robert Whittaker share 2 common opponents: Dricus Du Plessis and Kelvin Gastelum.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.