Darren Till vs Tyron Woodley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-1Record19-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Evolution
What's at stake
Tyron Woodley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Darren Till carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1702
If they lose-12→ 1670
If they win+9→ 1783
If they lose-15→ 1759
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1761 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darren TillTyron Woodley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tyron Woodley55%
Darren Till 45%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Tyron Woodley a 55% favorite over Darren Till in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Tyron Woodley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1682, a 92-point edge.
Darren Till enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Darren Till finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tyron Woodley 63%.
Darren Till and Tyron Woodley share 2 common opponents: Kelvin Gastelum and Stephen Thompson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.