Darrius Flowers vs Evan Elder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-1Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamNick Diaz Academy
What's at stake
Evan Elder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Darrius Flowers carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1605
If they lose-13→ 1573
If they win+13→ 1663
If they lose-19→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darrius FlowersEvan Elder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evan Elder61%
Darrius Flowers 39%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Elder a 61% favorite over Darrius Flowers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Evan Elder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1586, a 64-point edge.
Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Darrius Flowers finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Evan Elder 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.