Darrius Flowers vs Evan Elder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-9-1Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamNick Diaz Academy· 1668 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Evan Elder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Darrius Flowers carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1590
If they lose-12→ 1558
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-20→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Darrius FlowersEvan Elder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evan Elder53%
Darrius Flowers 47%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Elder a 53% favorite over Darrius Flowers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Evan Elder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1570, a 81-point edge.
Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Darrius Flowers finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Evan Elder 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.