AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrius Flowers vs Leonardo Mafra Texeira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-9-1Record15-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darrius FlowersNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
Leonardo Mafra TexeiraNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
51%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.38
42%
Strike defense
44%
1.65
Takedown avg.
2.12
11%
Takedown accuracy
83%
67%
Takedown defense
69%
0.41
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Darrius FlowersLeonardo Mafra Texeira
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (7%)
3 (23%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Darrius Flowers58%
Leonardo Mafra Texeira 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darrius Flowers a 58% favorite over Leonardo Mafra Texeira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1570), separated by just 1 points.

Leonardo Mafra Texeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Darrius Flowers finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Mafra Texeira 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.