Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrius Flowers vs Maheshate Hayisaer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-1Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
71"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamEnbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

Maheshate Hayisaer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Darrius Flowers carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darrius FlowersNow 1586
If they win+18→ 1604
If they lose-14→ 1572
Maheshate HayisaerNow 1631
If they win+14→ 1645
If they lose-18→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
51%
Strike accuracy
31%
5.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.96
42%
Strike defense
52%
1.65
Takedown avg.
0
11%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
47%
0.41
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Darrius FlowersMaheshate Hayisaer
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (9%)
3 (23%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Maheshate Hayisaer61%
Darrius Flowers 39%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Maheshate Hayisaer a 61% favorite over Darrius Flowers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Maheshate Hayisaer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1586, a 45-point edge.

Darrius Flowers finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Maheshate Hayisaer 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.