Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrius Flowers vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-1Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Michael Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Darrius Flowers carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darrius FlowersNow 1586
If they win+17→ 1603
If they lose-15→ 1571
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+11→ 1624
If they lose-13→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
50%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
44%
Strike defense
59%
0.98
Takedown avg.
0.58
29%
Takedown accuracy
39%
64%
Takedown defense
81%
0
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Darrius FlowersMichael Johnson
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
1 (8%)
Submission
2 (8%)
3 (23%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Darrius Flowers and Michael Johnson within a point of even.

Michael Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1586, a 27-point edge.

Darrius Flowers finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Michael Johnson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.