Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrius Flowers vs Omar Morales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Omar Morales
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Omar Morales

“Venezuelan Fighter”

11-4-0LightweightUFC

1588Solid

Tale of the tape

13-8-1Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
71"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamThe Goat Shed Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darrius FlowersNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Omar MoralesNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
50%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.18
44%
Strike defense
58%
0.98
Takedown avg.
0.46
29%
Takedown accuracy
100%
64%
Takedown defense
64%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Darrius FlowersOmar Morales
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (8%)
Submission
5 (45%)
3 (23%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Darrius Flowers63%
Omar Morales 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darrius Flowers a 63% favorite over Omar Morales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Omar Morales's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.

Omar Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Darrius Flowers finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Omar Morales 64%.

Omar Morales carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.