Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrius Flowers vs Patrik Šebek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-9-1Record4-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'2"
71"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darrius FlowersNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Patrik ŠebekNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
1.65
Takedown avg.
TBD
11%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.41
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Darrius FlowersPatrik Šebek
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
1 (8%)
Submission
2 (50%)
3 (23%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Darrius Flowers61%
Patrik Šebek 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darrius Flowers a 61% favorite over Patrik Šebek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patrik Šebek's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1571), separated by just 2 points.

Darrius Flowers finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Patrik Šebek 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.