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Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrius Flowers vs Waylon Lowe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-9-1Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darrius FlowersNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
Waylon LoweNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
1.92
51%
Strike accuracy
56%
5.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
42%
Strike defense
53%
1.65
Takedown avg.
4.58
11%
Takedown accuracy
52%
67%
Takedown defense
83%
0.41
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Darrius FlowersWaylon Lowe
1500155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (19%)
3 (23%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Darrius Flowers64%
Waylon Lowe 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darrius Flowers a 64% favorite over Waylon Lowe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1571), separated by just 0 points.

Darrius Flowers finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Waylon Lowe 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.