Combat Edge Intelligence

Darya Zheleznyakova vs Karol Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record19-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
68"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamParana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darya ZheleznyakovaNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Karol RosaNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.75
Sig. strikes / min
5.88
42%
Strike accuracy
56%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.59
69%
Strike defense
50%
0.44
Takedown avg.
1.17
100%
Takedown accuracy
48%
50%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Darya ZheleznyakovaKarol Rosa
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (11%)
5 (50%)
Decision
13 (68%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Darya Zheleznyakova and Karol Rosa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1647), separated by just 10 points.

Darya Zheleznyakova finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Karol Rosa 32%.

Darya Zheleznyakova and Karol Rosa share 1 common opponent: Ailín Pérez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission · 2024
Ailín Pérez
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025