Dashon Johnson vs Kēstin McClain
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Team Xplode MMATeamRoughhouse Boxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dashon JohnsonKēstin McClain
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kēstin McClain70%
Dashon Johnson 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kēstin McClain a 70% favorite over Dashon Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1623), separated by just 2 points.
Dashon Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kēstin McClain enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Dashon Johnson finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Kēstin McClain 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.