Dauren Ermekov vs Ibo Aslan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record14-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
TeamGym 23· 1685 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dauren ErmekovIbo Aslan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dauren Ermekov60%
Ibo Aslan 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dauren Ermekov a 60% favorite over Ibo Aslan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1648), separated by just 1 points.
Ibo Aslan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dauren Ermekov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Ibo Aslan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.