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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dauren Ermekov vs Jordan Wright

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jordan Wright
us

Jordan Wright

“The Beverly Hills Ninja”

13-5-0Light HeavyweightFFC

1650Good

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record13-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
TeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dauren ErmekovNow 1650
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Jordan WrightNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
Not available
Strike accuracy
57%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.03
Not available
Strike defense
32%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.09
Not available
Takedown accuracy
45%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Dauren ErmekovJordan Wright
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
3 (17%)
Submission
5 (38%)
8 (44%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Jordan Wright58%
Dauren Ermekov 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Wright a 58% favorite over Dauren Ermekov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dauren Ermekov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1650), separated by just 0 points.

Jordan Wright enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dauren Ermekov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Wright 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.