Dave Strasser vs Devin Smyth
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-8-4Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
167 lbsWeight170 lbs
Freestyle AcademyTeamMurcielago MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dave StrasserDevin Smyth
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Devin Smyth54%
Dave Strasser 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Devin Smyth a 54% favorite over Dave Strasser in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dave Strasser's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.
Dave Strasser finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Devin Smyth 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.