Combat Edge Intelligence

Dave Strasser vs Victor Valenzuela

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-8-4Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
167 lbsWeight170 lbs
Freestyle AcademyTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dave StrasserNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
Victor ValenzuelaNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
46%
Strike accuracy
100%
2.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
59%
Strike defense
0%
0.80
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dave StrasserVictor Valenzuela
15501600165020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
9 (36%)
Submission
2 (14%)
6 (24%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Valenzuela70%
Dave Strasser 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Valenzuela a 70% favorite over Dave Strasser in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1613), separated by just 2 points.

Victor Valenzuela enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dave Strasser finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Victor Valenzuela 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.