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Combat Edge Intelligence

Davey Grant vs Long Xiao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Davey Grant
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Davey Grant

“Dangerous”

18-8-0BantamweightUFC

1666Good

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record27-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamXin-Du Martial Arts Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Davey GrantNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Long XiaoNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.58
Sig. strikes / min
5.06
45%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
55%
Strike defense
50%
0.95
Takedown avg.
0.74
10%
Takedown accuracy
11%
65%
Takedown defense
82%
0.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Davey GrantLong Xiao
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
9 (50%)
Submission
9 (33%)
5 (28%)
Decision
13 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Long Xiao61%
Davey Grant 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 61% favorite over Davey Grant in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1667), separated by just 1 points.

Long Xiao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Davey Grant finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Long Xiao 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.