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Combat Edge Intelligence

David Martinez vs Keith Keogh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
David  Martinez
au

David Martinez

“The Smiling Assassin”

17-6-0MiddleweightPFL

1641Solid

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record5-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"Reach-
176 lbsWeight145 lbs
Peter de Been Jiu-JitsuTeamC-MAC· 1591 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David MartinezNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Keith KeoghNow 1639
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

David MartinezKeith Keogh
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
7 (41%)
Submission
3 (60%)
7 (41%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting David Martinez and Keith Keogh within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1639), separated by just 2 points.

David Martinez enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Keith Keogh enters on a 5-fight win streak.

David Martinez finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Keith Keogh 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.