David Martinez vs Václav Štěpán
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
David Martinez62%
Václav Štěpán 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes David Martinez a 62% favorite over Václav Štěpán in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.
Václav Štěpán enters on a 6-fight win streak.
David Martinez finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Václav Štěpán 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record5-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"Reach-
176 lbsWeight145 lbs
Peter de Been Jiu-JitsuTeamAll Sports Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David MartinezVáclav Štěpán