Combat Edge Intelligence

David Baron vs Jim Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Miller
us

Jim Miller

“A-10”

39-19-0LightweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

17-4-1Record39-19-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
169 lbsWeight155 lbs
Haute TensionTeamSussex County MMA

What's at stake

Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — David Baron carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David BaronNow 1662
If they win+19→ 1681
If they lose-13→ 1649
Jim MillerNow 1720
If they win+10→ 1730
If they lose-14→ 1706

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.53
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
44%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
56%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
1.50
0%
Takedown accuracy
45%
14%
Takedown defense
49%
1.13
Submission avg.
1.70

Trajectory

David BaronJim Miller
165017001750201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
7 (18%)
11 (65%)
Submission
22 (56%)
2 (12%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Jim Miller78%
David Baron 22%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 78% favorite over David Baron in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1662, a 58-point edge.

David Baron finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.